Cherrytree Group LLC Blog

....by Warren Kirshenbaum

Acquiring capital for real estate investments is a difficult and daunting task in this weak economy.  The uncertainty of the real estate market has become a strong barrier between investors and real estate developers, leaving developers with very few options for obtaining capital.  The absence of eager/willing investors has prompted real estate developers to seek innovative means of financing.  One attractive source of financing is through foreign investment that is generated through the EB-5 Green Card program.  EB-5 is part of the Immigration Act of 1990 established for the purpose of attracting foreign capital to the United States.  Under this program, 10,000 green cards are set aside every year for qualifying candidates.  A qualified candidate must satisfy three basic requirements in order to be considered for approval.  These basic requirements include 1) establishing a U.S. business or investing in an existing business that was created or structured after November 19, 1990, 2) the foreign national must have invested $1 million in the business or $500,000 when investing in targeted employment areas and 3) the newly created business must create full time employment for 10 U.S. workers for a specified amount of time.  Once these requirements are met, the EB-5 investors must also demonstrate that they, their spouses and their children under the age of twenty-one have resided in the U.S. for two years by means of conditional visas.  

The EB-5 Program promotes the infusion of foreign capital into the American economy. This benefits real estate developers seeking additional investment capital for their projects.  The U.S. developer can obtain financing from the foreign investor in order to commence or complete local development projects.  This is a great opportunity for American developers to secure capital for their projects in an economy where banks are denying loans and U.S. investors are reluctant to invest in new endeavors.  The program not only benefits U.S. developers, but also offers incentives to foreign investors desiring to live out the American dream.  In exchange for the investor’s capital being put to work in the U.S., they receive green cards for themselves and their families as long as all of the program requirements are met.  This is a win-win situation for both the U.S. developer and the foreign investor in achieving their goals of real estate investment/development and expedited permanent residency status, respectively.  

EB-5 applicants invest foreign capital through Regional Centers that have varying investments programs.  The Regional Center may be a state government agency, a corporation or a private venture.  Companies or private entities that are approved EB-5 Regional Centers can directly contact foreign investors who are interested in participating in the immigration program. The Regional Center must verify that the investor’s capital was earned through lawful activity; otherwise it cannot be utilized for the program.  Once all of the required elements are met, the Regional Center can begin the application process for the foreign investor.  Don’t know where there is a regional Center? The Cherrytree Group can help you find one in your area.

At the Cherrytree Group we have extensive knowledge in structuring investments to achieve the optimal return on investment. The EB-5 provides valuable investment to new real estate development projects.

(Reuters) - Borrowing by small businesses jumped for a fifth straight month in December, data released by PayNet Inc on Tuesday showed, a fresh sign that the U.S. economic recovery is gaining ground.

The Thomson Reuters/PayNet Small Business Lending Index, which measures the overall volume of financing to U.S. small businesses, rose 20 percent in December from the same month a year earlier, PayNet said.

That is the fastest monthly gain since March 2006, with the index registering the highest level of borrowing since July 2008.

Separate data also released on Tuesday showed a decline in small business loan delinquencies.

"They are borrowing more and they are finding it easier to pay their bills," William Phelan, PayNet's president and founder, said in an interview. "The recovery is growing and remains on a solid footing."

The surge in borrowing by small businesses, seen as harbinger for the broader economy because they account for as much as 80 percent of new hiring, comes amid other signs the economy is headed for renewed expansion.

Factory activity in the U.S. Midwest hit a 22-1/2-year high in January as orders surged and the employment picture brightened, a report Monday showed. Another report on Monday showed consumer spending is on the rise.

Still, persistent high U.S. unemployment -- which registered 9.4 percent last month -- and a sluggish housing market continue to weigh on the economy.

One large manufacturer that provided data to PayNet in December said that businesses were buying equipment to replace worn-out machines, rather than to expand output -- a sign that the jump in borrowing may not necessary translate to new jobs, Phelan said.

"I don't think we are ready to declare victory quite yet," Phelan said, noting that the borrowing index, which fell by more than half at the nadir of the recession, has yet to return to its 2005 level.

Still, fewer companies are falling behind on their existing loan payments, a fact that may in itself boost borrowing, since higher repayment rates can free up capital that lenders might have otherwise set aside against the possibility of default.

Accounts in moderate delinquency, or those behind by 30 days or more, fell in December to 2.45 percent from 2.56 percent in November, PayNet said.

That is about the same level of delinquency as before the recession began, Phelan said.

The Thomson Reuters/PayNet small business lending index is correlated to developments in the overall economy, with changes in the index preceding changes in the overall U.S. economy by two to five months.

PayNet collects real-time loan information, such as originations and delinquencies, from more than 200 leading U.S. capital equipment lenders.

by Warren Kirshenbaum

The Community Development Financial Institutions Fund (“CDFI Fund”), a program of the U.S. Department of Treasury released its 2010 Performance and Accountability Report on January 18, 2011, providing key insight into economic revitalization in 2010. The CDFI Fund promotes economic revitalization and community development through investment in, and assistance to community development financial institutions.

The Performance and Accountability Report demonstrated a continued level of interest in investment into low-income communities and showed a substantial increase in rewarded tax credits over 2009. In 2010, the CDFI Fund, which administers the New Markets Tax Credit Program (“NMTC”) distributed all $26 billion in its authority in 495 separate awards.

The NMTC was created as part of the Community Renewal Tax Relief Act of 2000 to provide a tax credit to taxpayers who provide investments to businesses in low-income communities.

Specifically, the NMTC stimulates capital investment in low-income communities by providing tax credits against federal income taxes to taxpayers who make equity investments (referred to as “QEI’s” or “qualified equity investments”) into a designated community development entity (“CDE”). Substantially all of the investments made by the taxpayer must be used to benefit low income communities in order to receive the tax credit, and that determination is made by reference to census tracts. The Performance and Accountability Report of 2010 announced that the demand for the NMTC is increasing. In 2010 over two thousand applications were submitted, containing requests totaling $202.6 billion in tax credit allocation. Accordingly, only 27% of applicants were selected to receive the awards with the average tax credit allocation award being $52.5 million. The tax credit allocations are limited, so they are approved by a competitive application process. This process of approving tax credit allocation is set up so that the most qualified organizations receive first consideration.

This past year also saw another record for investments raised – in the first three quarters of 2010, $3.1 billion in qualified equity investments were raised, surpassing the $2.8 billion raised for all of 2009. Furthermore, tax credit recipients reported making $3.5 billion of loans and investments in Qualified Active Low Income Community Businesseses – 64% of which went into real estate businesses. Lastly, in 2010, recipients also reported making over $168 million in direct investments into other CDE’s, and providing $12 million in financial counseling and other services to 7,139 businesses in low-income communities.

The 2010 report announced by the CDFI Fund shows the growing demand for investment capital in low-income communities. In sum, since the program’s inception, there has been a total of $15.8 billion of cumulative investments made via the New Market Tax Credit Program. If you are interested in how to qualify for these or any other potential tax credits, please call Warren today or fill out a Contact Us form.

...By Warren Kirshenbaum

Renewable energy is not yet able to be produced in quantities that will satisfy global energy demand, and renewable energy is more expensive than energy produced from fossil fuels, but great strides have been made in recent years in these areas. Furthermore, the costs that the production of fossil fuels are imposing, both on our environment, and financially on the companies producing oil and gas are not factored into the cost per gallon or kilowatt hour of energy production, and perhaps this is a line item that we should start to factor into the cost of the production of energy from fossil fuels if we are going to make a push toward serving the world’s energy needs with renewable resources.

This year, the Deepwater Horizon oil spill (which was both the biggest oil spill in U.S. history and the largest accidental marine oil spill in the history of the petroleum industry) released 185 million gallons of crude oil into the Gulf of Mexico for about three months and has inflicted devastating environmental and psychological damage on the coastal communities in the Gulf, affecting tourism, fishing and drilling, as well as subjecting residents to ongoing restrictions on fishing and shrimping that have affected the livelihoods of thousands of people. BP’s Gulf Oil Spill resulted in the deaths of 11 workers on the rig and injuries to 17 others. BP’s financial expenditures from the oil spill have so far reached $3.12 billion, excluding the $20 billion compensation fund they have set up to reimburse residents and businesses for their losses. Also this year we endured the Copiapo mining accident in Chile, which occurred when the copper/gold mine owned by San Esteban Mining Company collapsed and 33 men were trapped 2,300 ft below ground for 69 days. Fortunately, all of the 33 men were rescued with only one man suffering from pneumonia, and a few others experiencing dental problems. The cost to rescue the men was $20 million. The San Esteban Mining Company has allegedly violated mining regulations previously, and 8 of its employees have died at the mine in 12 years. Adding to the year’s disasters at fossil fuel production sites is the Pike River Mine accident in New Zealand where an explosion at the coal mine has left 29 miners trapped 4,900 feet from the mine’s entrance. The miners are still trapped in the mine and may not be alive. Gas sampling is being tested to ensure that any accidental spark will not ignite the mine when search and rescue operations are undertaken. The Gulf Oil Spill, Copiapo mining accident, and Pike River Mine accident were stark reminders that our pursuit of energy derived from fossil fuels is causing an irreversible deterioration of our planet, its natural resources, our environmental balance, and is subjecting us to unacceptable losses in human life.

There are a multitude of renewable resources, but this post will focus on solar and hydro energy production, as these methods of renewable energy production are, in my opinion, poised to experience significant growth in the next few years.

Solar energy production is significantly more expensive than hydro, due to the cost of the solar panels themselves. Hydro has languished for decades as a method of creating renewable energy, mainly due to the environmental objections that a hydro project creates, and the expensive federal regulatory requirements of such projects. However, both forms of renewable energy are attractive. Solar projects, unlike wind projects do not create a danger to birds, cattle, and other animals, solar fields are not large and aesthetically displeasing, and do not generate loud whirring sounds that intrude on people’s quality of life. Consequently, as solar installations have very little negative environmental effect, they are generally easy to permit. Solar energy is, however, expensive to produce, as the technology that underpins the solar panels have traditionally made the installation of solar fields expensive enough to impede their development as a commercial enterprise. As with all technology, as solar technology develops, its cost has begun to decline, which should make solar projects more viable. Hydro, is very clean and unobtrusive to the environment, and is relatively safe to produce, but it can affect the migratory pathways of fish, and a dam breach could be detrimental to downstream human habitats. Consequently, new dams have not been constructed in many years. In fact, the stock of dams has decreased over the decades. Moreover, the prospect of new dams being built is relatively slim (due to the environmental challenges and the time period involved in getting Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approval). Inorder for hydro production to increase, the capacity of existing facilities would need to be expanded. Legislative changes that limit environmental objections to the process of FERC approval, renewal, and re-licensing would need to be implemented to help to stimulate hydro production, this will require intensive lobbying, but it can be done.

Nevertheless, the point being made here is that, despite the higher cost of producing renewable energy, the cost of energy production from fossil fuels is enormous,not only the monetary cost, but the environmental cost as well as the cost of human life. This is more of an IOU being tagged to the planet than a current cost, which leads to the conclusion that we have no choice but to pay the higher monetary price for renewable energy now and retire the bigger IOU that future generations will inherit.

By Warren Kirshenbaum

The Federal Reserve's plan to purchase $600BN in US Treasuries has wide ranging consequences, including the devaluing effect that the influx of such a large amount of dollars will have on the dollar itself. A devalued dollar makes US produced goods cheaper, causing exports to rise. As a deficit nation, the US benefits from an increase in exports, but it comes at the expense of other countries. Therefore, this plan has been roundly criticized by many countries who claim that the US is manipulating its currency, and as the issuer of a global reserve currency such as the dollar the US has a responsibility to keep the dollar fairly valued. It is certainly an interesting position for currency manipulating countries like China to take, but nonetheless this is the position they are taking, and as we will discuss below their influence on our domestic interest rate environment is significant.

So, what effect will the Fed plan have on mortgage rates? As the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has been to keep the Federal Funds rate at less than 1% for some time now, long term interest rates have remained low. Mortgages are generally priced off the 30 year Treasury bond, which is currently yielding 4.25%. Average 30 year fixed mortgages are pricing at 4.625%. In that a bond's yield increases as the price of the bond decreases, if the prices of US Treasuries decline, then yields will increase. Bond prices have been trending higher for several days now on concerns of inflation and uncertainty about the Fed's plan to buy treasuries.

So let us analyze this situation. As a deficit nation, we spend more than we receive. The only way to sustain such behavior is to borrow funds to finance the shortfall. Many nations have large stockpiles of US dollars from trading with us, and many more hold their reserves in dollar denominated assets. These dollars need to be put to work, and the value of dollar denominated assets need to remain steady for these countries to continue to run surpluses which are need to finance their economic growth, provide infrastructure and provide basic services for its citizenry. Therefore, there are a large number of countries buying US debt in the form of US treasuries. If other countries, like China decide that the US economy is shaky and they reduce their purchases of treasuries, or even begin to sell off the treasuries they currently own, bond prices would fall and yields will increase. That would mean that other countries would be unwilling to finance our debt at the same levels as they have been. In that case, with the Fed itself buying US treasuries, there will not be an excess supply of treasuries, which will keep their prices steady, or even cause an increase in bond prices. It would appear, however, that if we were in a deficit to begin with, the only way the Fed could buy treasuries would be to print more money to do so, which will improve the cash position of the US but deflate the dollar, and obligate us to greater borrowing costs. An increase in the US cash position, together with an increase in exports could have a formidable effect on our current account surplus and reduce our deficit, but clearly we are devaluing the dollar and annoying our trading partners whose point is well taken. They say that the US should be able to increase its exports by improving its competitiveness not devaluing its currency. Nevertheless, this seems to be a short term plan on the part of the Fed. Basically, increased export production can lead to the creation of jobs, and a lowering of the unemployment rate, which leads to a rise in consumer confidence. Mortgage rates and other borrowing costs could increase, which would lead to manufacturing price increases and, therefore, an increase in the prices of consumer goods, i.e. inflation.

So we are trading deficit reduction and job creation for inflation and higher borrowing costs. What all of this will do for our businesses and economic outlook is anyone's guess, but it is certainly shaping up to be a challenging time period.

By Warren Kirshenbaum

In the recent election, Question 2 on the Massachusetts ballot asked whether voters should “repeal the law allowing developers of projects that include low- or moderate-income housing to apply for a single comprehensive permit from a city or town’s zoning board” The law in question is M.G.L. Chapter 40B, which is an expedited permitting statute. Chapter 40B creates an expedited permitting procedure for those developers that include an affordable component to their development. Specifically, in order to receive a permit under 40B, 25% of the housing units to be built must be considered affordable housing. The towns in the Commonwealth that are subject to 40B are those towns whose affordable housing stock does not exceed 10% of their total housing inventory. 40B subjects the Zoning Board to a streamlined procedure greatly reducing the time and cost of the permitting procedure, and limiting the ability of the town to deny the permit.

On Tuesday, November 2nd, Massachusetts voters, in a decisive victory of 58% to 42% voted not to repeal 40B.

This trend in the voting patterns comports with conversations that I had with people, in which it seemed that there was a lot of non-information, and even misinformation on this issue, and as this movement to repeal 40B could resurface again, I am hoping to shed some light on the issue in this post.

The main underlying issue that I sensed is the NIMBY one. Not in My Back Yard is understandable, and is a concern about falling property values and the denigration of a neighborhood when some of the housing is affordable. Declining property values is indeed a fallout of affordable housing, as the financing options discussed below are very favorable to developers or affordable buyers and, therefore, their properties. These affordability factors lower the market value of a single family home, or a multifamily property, and, therefore, affect the comps of other sellers in the area. This effect is a micro-economic effect, and a relatively minor one at that, as lower comps would affect a financing appraisal in small part, and the market value of a sale with even less consequence. In any event, 40B historically has mostly been used for multi-family construction, and 95% of the projects permitted under 40B are multi-family apartment complexes or condos.

Practically speaking, if a condo development were built near your home, whether it was affordable or market-rate your property value and property enjoyment would decline, so this is not an affordable housing, or 40B issue, as much as it is a land-use or urban planning issue.

Secondly, people I spoke to understood 40B to be a financing statute, and assumed that it gave developers funding to pursue their affordable housing projects. 40B is an expedited permitting statute that allows an override of municipal zoning authority to promote affordable housing. It is not a financing statute. There are forms of financing that are available to developers of affordable housing, such as the Federal Low Income Housing Tax Credit, HUD insured mortgages, tax-exempt bonds, Community Block Grants, and other state and federal sources of funding, and developers use these sources of funding once they are permitted, whether pursuant to 40B or otherwise. 40B is not a preamble to these sources of financing.

While realizing that concern over retaining a leafy suburban lifestyle, or holding on to a paper appraisal of a home value may be important to some in the micro-economic sense, it is not a positive economic trend in the big picture that justifies the repeal of a statute such as 40B. Consider this: a community is more than just our home values; it is a collection of individuals, families, homes, stores, houses of worship, and so forth. While we are happy when we see a fire truck scooting off to tame a brush fire near our neighbor’s yard, we would be foolish to attempt to exclude the possibility that the first responders on the fire-truck also be given the opportunity to live among us in our community by creating affordable options here, and not force them to be relegated to living in a far-off town for affordability reasons.

It should also be pointed out since its enactment, 40B has been credited with spurring upwards of 80% of the new development in Massachusetts, and there are several new developments, as well as many ongoing ones that would not have been built, or will not now be completed were 40B to be repealed, or if it didn’t exist in the first place. This construction has created jobs, spending, and economic activity that we rely on for our stability, and, particularly in our economic malaise, we can little afford to repeal a statute that has created such substantial growth and employment.

The Citizens Housing and Planning Association (“CHAPA”), a prominent Massachusetts non-profit that plays a decisive role in encouraging the production and preservation of affordable housing claimed that this vote evidenced the largest victory margin of any ballot campaign. CHAPA claimed that, “over 1.2 million voters and 80% of cities and towns affirmed their support for protecting the affordable housing law for seniors and working families in urban, suburban, and rural communities all across the state.” While this is true, an analysis of the voting results shows that the larger urban centers voted strongly in favor of not repealing 40B, constituting the largest slice of the 16% victory margin, while the voting in many towns was closer than this 16% victory margin suggests. Many towns actually voted in favor of repeal. Cities and towns such as Worcester, Somerville, Quincy, Arlington, Boston, Brockton, Lawrence, New Bedford and Cambridge opposed repealing 40B in large numbers, and they were joined by the suburban bastions of Newton, Needham, Lexington, Brookline, and Milton, which all together carried the NO vote on this question. Significantly, however, there were also several towns that voted to repeal 40B, such as Abington, Amesbury, Billerica, Bridgewater, Sudbury, Stoughton, Wilmington, Westford, Chelmsford, Tewksbury, Walpole, and Canton.

... by Warren Kirshenbaum

It is my opinion that banks really do not have much incentive to lend money. Banks can borrow money from the Fed at rates that approximate zero, and they can then purchase US Treasuries and return a 3 point spread with little to no risk. Accordingly, why would they be willing to incur the time consumption of due diligence, the transaction expenses, and the inherent risk of loaning money to consumers and businesses when they can be profitable borrowing from the Fed, lending to each other, and engaging in hedging transactions. Nevertheless, as their apparent mandate is to take in deposits and then loan those funds out to borrowers while maintaining a reserve of funds to maintain net capital requirements, they need to put some money out to work in loan transactions but their documents, loan covenants, underwriting requirements, equity requirements, and debt-service coverage ratios are very restrictive, and in some cases are either unprofitable for borrowers or are putting businesses in the position of having to run business decisions by their bankers prior to accessing necessary working capital or credit line funding. I have been promoting for some time now that businesses need to create their own sources of funding, in order to decrease their reliance on bank financing, which is fast becoming a scarce resource. Private equity or corporate debt issuance is a viable option in these economic times, and I urge businesses of all sizes and levels of growth and development to formulate a plan to tap their non-bank resources for capital funding.

Interestingly, a midterm election that changes the majority party in Congress, such as the 2010 Midterm elections did can have a profound effect on the business plans of many different types of companies. For example, those businesses that supply the defense industry may find that under a Republican controlled Congress there are more dollars appropriated to defense spending, and will benefit from such a political change. Those businesses that are non-unionized may find that a Democratic Congress or state administration would be more favorable to union labor and open-shop employers may find that the cost of labor would dramatically increase, effectively turning a company’s cash flow upside down. Any of these factors would cause a company to need to seek financing to smooth out the edges while it re-formulates its business plan and carves out new market niches for itself.

My message is that if you are hoping to seek bank financing, you should add to your quiver of options the possibility of raising funds using private equity, or by issuing corporate bonds or debt instruments. As you are setting the terms of the offering or issuance you are in more of a position to control and accept provisions, terms, covenants and this will be beneficial to your business interests, and that will spur, and not hamper or restrict growth. We, as small business people are in need of capital and funding to execute many, if not most of the objectives of our business plans, but the sources of capital have become restrictive, unwieldy, and stifling. It is time to change the terms of this game, and look for alternate sources of funding.